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In a weekend where Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Juventus all dropped points, the Premier League title chasers stumbled again.
Arsenal were held to a goalless draw by Everton while Liverpool managed it four goals against Fulham feeling like one point gained rather than two points down. Manchester City had three minutes left to restart their run in the competition when Amad Diallo fired Manchester United into the lead. 2-1 derby day win.
Chelsea, a team looking to avoid talk of a relegation battle, were the only bottom-of-the-table team to collect all points this weekend, despite losing players. win over Brentford Sunday night.
This is how these terrible cycles have affected choice‘s statistically supported predictions.
The design of the rear pack chase Liverpool it changed a lot this week. Chelseawho started the round as fourth favourites, leapfrogged Manchester City in the predictions.
The Blues have a 5.5% chance of winning the title. “I don’t even know what the title race is anymore, to be honest,” Nicolas Jackson joked after scoring the decisive goal in Sunday’s 2-1 victory that lifted his team into first place. “I’m not looking at the table,” the actor insisted. That could change soon if Chelsea continue to close the gap on Liverpool.
Chelsea are still likely to finish third (35.5%) and have a 5.3% chance of missing out on the top four altogether. Arsenal remain Liverpool’s biggest opponents, finishing above the Reds in 10.6% of 10,000 attempts Opta is Advanced statistical model computations.
The Gunners cried a lot progressive, worrying events that appear painfully during a strong stability at home to Everton on Saturday. Arteta’s side have scored just 15 times from open play in 16 top-flight games – one fewer than relegated Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Liverpool he has no problem finding the back of the net, even when reduced to ten players. Arne Slot’s unstoppable outfit fell twice at home to Fulham on Saturday afternoon but emerged with a point and a renewed interest in the title race.
The Reds can only have a two-point advantage over Chelsea – with a game in hand at Everton next derby delay – but supercomputers give Liverpool an 82.0% chance of winning their second Premier League title.
Manchester Citywho are chasing their fifth crown on the spin, are left with a 1.9% chance of finishing at the top of the pile again. In the last seven Premier League games since Halloween, Pep Guardiola’s side have picked up a miserable four points – the same as rock-bottom Southampton. manager was sacked Russell Martin during the week.
There is no danger of Guardiola losing his job wherever City finish, but top spot looks unlikely.
Responsibility |
Club |
A chance to win the Premier League title |
---|---|---|
1. |
Liverpool |
82.0% |
2. |
Arsenal |
10.6% |
3. |
Chelsea |
5.5% |
4. |
Man City |
1.9% |