French Rock Rocks Le Penedict French Rocks

“Incredible.” This was the unique word that was pronounced under the breath by Marine Le Pen while storming a court room in Paris this morning.

He left the court early, just before heard that he was prevented from running for five years after being found guilty of EU’s funding embezzlement, almost certainly he ruled out of his position in the French presidential elections of 2027.

Without even waiting for the judge to speak the complete details of the sentence, the head of the national rally knew that his political goose was cooked.

There would be no resource for appeal. The bar that was in office was real and immediate.

A four -year prison sentence, which they will be suspended, will be awaiting pending.

But his political plans are dead.

Le Pen’s disbelief can be better excused, perhaps, in the context of the moment.

A consensus had almost been established throughout the political world of France that this final sanction on the court could not, in the end, would not take place.

It was not just the followers of Le Pen who said it. His enemies agreed, from Jean-Luc Melenchon to the far left to the Prime Minister François Bayrou in the center, and the Minister of Justice, Gérard Darmanin, on the right.

But they were all wrong. The judge said the law was the law.

In fact, the law had recently hardened, by the same politicians who now complained about their application, to make the penalty for misuse of public funds. Well, the judge said in so many words, now let politicians suck their own drug.

Maybe Marine Le Pen was naive in not predicting this result. It certainly seems that his national manifestation party was not ready for it.

So they met in an emergency session after the verdict, party leaders were in a dilemma.

Do they continue as if there is still a possibility that Marine Le Pen will work in 2027?

In theory, there is still one (small) possibility. Has launched a resource. The attractiveness could be accelerated and take place by the end of this year or at the beginning of 2026. It would follow a verdict in spring.

A different decision to the appeal hearing could decrease the period of inelegibility or eliminate it, in this case it could still run. But possibilities must be considered as premiums.

Or, should they proceed with Plan B, that is, with the President of the name Jordan Bardella name as the man who will run to Marine Le Pen’s Place?

It can be a more realistic evaluation than it is ahead. But heading to Bardella too quickly would be rare. And anyway, not everyone at the party is a fan.

In the evening he had chosen: in an appearance on television, Marine Le Pen went out, saying that he did not plan to retire from the political scene.

Denounce What she called a “political” decision With regard to the judge and a “violation of the rule of law”, he requested a quick appeal judgment, so that his name could be erased, or at least the high rapidity, in time for the 2027 vote.

“There are millions of Frenchmen who believe in me. I have been fighting injustice for 30 years. This is what I will continue to do to the end,” he said.

Fighting words, but in fact the future seems very clear. And there are many unanswered questions.

What will be, for example, the effect of the court’s decision on the RN vote?

In the short term we can expect a cry and a boost for party support. Why? Because what happened is so perfectly adapted to the RN narrative that populist right is the victim of the “system”.

No one is likely to vote on RN seriously against Marine Le Pen to illegally fund his party through EU Parliament Funds. They all know that almost every French political party has resorted to similar methods in the past in the past.

At the same time, her “draconian” punishment, which is prohibited from the presidency, will be interpreted as a badge of honor: the proof that she alone is on the powers.

However, the impulse may not be so powerful. The truth is that Marine Le Pen is a great asset for RN. This woman in the battle, sentimental, a lover of cats, lasts and suffers long duration is affected by her supporters, who feel that they know her personally.

Jordan Bardella is also a popular figure, but at the age of only 29 it is difficult to see -filling his shoes. If Marine Le Pen is actually unable to run in 2027, the RN loses much of its attractiveness.

What is certain is that many candidates to the right not RN (Laurent Wauquiez, Bruno Retailleau, for example, would see a great opportunity for themselves in a Bardella bid for themselves.

The other unknown is revenge.

Marine Le Pen is still a member of the National Assembly, where he runs a 125 block: the largest in Parliament. So far he has been Benigna towards the besieged Prime Minister Francois Bayrou, who fights despite having no majority.

These days can end.

Why should we do someone some favor now, they will tell RN HQ. Why not demolish the house?